As warned, Maidan Ukraine’s battlefronts are collapsing and so is its army. The Maidan regime and Ukrainian state could follow next if peace does not come by any other path than a Russian military victory that destroys the Ukrainian army. The battlefronts’ collapse has been plain to see for the entire year, despite the massive Western media cover up and denial. Pokrovsk is now taken. Myrnograd is surrounded. Kupyansk is encricled and being occupied. Gulyai Pole, Lymanb, Siversk, will be surrounded and probably taken by year’s end. Kramatorsk and Slovansk will be early next year. Russian forces will then have a clear, relatively easy march to Dnieper in east central Ukraine and to Zaporozhe and Dnipro and across the Dmieper in the south. Late next year, all of eastern Ukraine could be occupied by Russian forces. Meanwhile, the army is suffering accelerating mass desertions, with 320,000 since the war began; more than 160,000 this year alone; and a record 21,000 in October, according to the Ukrainian General Prosecutor’s Office (GPO).
As also warned, the front and army collpases would be followed by the collapse of the Maidan regime and its replacement by a neofascist or more moderate professional military junta and/or chaos and civil war, perhaps backed or instigated by Western powers. The kind of regime split preceding a regime collapse appears to be underway, if not any already existing one intensifying. I have written numerous times about the small civil-military conflict represented by that between President Volodomyr Zelenskiy and Kiev’s ambassodor to the UK and former commanderof the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Gen. Valeriy Zaluzhniy. ……..
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About the Author –
Gordon M. Hahn, Ph.D., is an Expert Analyst at Corr Analytics, www.canalyt.com. Websites: Russian and Eurasian Politics, gordonhahn.com and gordonhahn.academia.edu
Dr. Hahn is the author of the new book: Russian Tselostnost’: Wholeness in Russian Thought, Culture, History, and Politics (Europe Books, 2022). He has authored five previous, well-received books: The Russian Dilemma: Security, Vigilance, and Relations with the West from Ivan III to Putin (McFarland, 2021); Ukraine Over the Edge: Russia, the West, and the “New Cold War” (McFarland, 2018); The Caucasus Emirate Mujahedin: Global Jihadism in Russia’s North Caucasus and Beyond (McFarland, 2014), Russia’s Islamic Threat (Yale University Press, 2007), and Russia’s Revolution From Above: Reform, Transition and Revolution in the Fall of the Soviet Communist Regime, 1985-2000 (Transaction, 2002). He also has published numerous think tank reports, academic articles, analyses, and commentaries in both English and Russian language media.
Dr. Hahn taught at Boston, American, Stanford, San Jose State, and San Francisco State Universities and as a Fulbright Scholar at Saint Petersburg State University, Russia and was a senior associate and visiting fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, the Kennan Institute in Washington DC, the Hoover Institution at Stanford University, and the Center for Terrorism and Intelligence Studies (CETIS), Akribis Group.