There are two vexing issues blocking agreement or at least major progress in the negotiations to end the NATO-Russia Ukrainian War.
In his interview with The Atlantic, Ukrainian leader Volodomyr Zelensky conditioned a peace treaty to end the NATO-Russia Ukrainian War on the prior agreement on security guarantees for Ukraine. If Russia turns to a policy of conditioning a peace treaty and security guarantees for Russia as well as Ukraine under a new security architecture for Europe — a ‘new hard line that some observers, such as the insightful Aleksandr Mercouris, that’s some claim is already Russian policy, there may be ways forward on such a basis by providing both sides security guarantees under such a security architecture (XXXXXXXXX). For Russia, a neutral Ukraine codified into International and/or Ukrainian law (constitution), no foreign troops on Ukrainian territory, limits on size of Ukrainian army. Given Russia’s opposition to any foreign troop presence in Ukraine, a security guarantee for Ukraine could involve stationing a significant NATO/Ukrainian force in Poland and Rumania (Hungary would refuse such deployments) that could be activated in the unlikely event that Russia would re-start war with Ukraine without a Ukrainian and/or NATO violation of the agreement or some other provocation.
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EUROPE BOOKS, 2022
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MCFARLAND BOOKS, 2018
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About the Author –
Gordon M. Hahn, Ph.D., is an Expert Analyst at Corr Analytics, www.canalyt.com. Websites: Russian and Eurasian Politics, gordonhahn.com and gordonhahn.academia.edu
Dr. Hahn is the author of the new book: Russian Tselostnost’: Wholeness in Russian Thought, Culture, History, and Politics (Europe Books, 2022). He has authored five previous, well-received books: The Russian Dilemma: Security, Vigilance, and Relations with the West from Ivan III to Putin (McFarland, 2021); Ukraine Over the Edge: Russia, the West, and the “New Cold War” (McFarland, 2018); The Caucasus Emirate Mujahedin: Global Jihadism in Russia’s North Caucasus and Beyond (McFarland, 2014), Russia’s Islamic Threat (Yale University Press, 2007), and Russia’s Revolution From Above: Reform, Transition and Revolution in the Fall of the Soviet Communist Regime, 1985-2000 (Transaction, 2002). He also has published numerous think tank reports, academic articles, analyses, and commentaries in both English and Russian language media.
Dr. Hahn taught at Boston, American, Stanford, San Jose State, and San Francisco State Universities and as a Fulbright Scholar at Saint Petersburg State University, Russia and was a senior associate and visiting fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, the Kennan Institute in Washington DC, the Hoover Institution at Stanford University, and the Center for Terrorism and Intelligence Studies (CETIS), Akribis Group.